Home Prices Grow Twice as Fast as Incomes

Daily Real Estate News | Monday, May 01, 2017

Strong buyer demand this spring is pushing home prices up at double the rate of increase in income growth, The Wall Street Journal reports. The median price of an existing home for all housing types was $236,400 in March, up 6.8 percent from a year ago, when it was $221,400, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Incomes, meanwhile, increased 3 percent in February from a year earlier, according to the Labor Department.

“Bolstered by strong consumer confidence and underlying demand, home sales are up convincingly from a year ago nationally and in all four major regions, despite the fact that buying a home has gotten more expensive over the past year,” says NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

Home prices are nearly 40 percent above where they were at the bottom of the housing crash in February 2012, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. Some markets are seeing even more increases. In Dallas, home prices have surged nearly 53 percent from their low and are now 35.5 percent above their previous high. In Denver, home prices are 59 percent above their low and are 36.5 percent above their previous high.

“It can’t be sustained,” warns David Berson, chief economist at Nationwide Insurance and a former economist at Fannie Mae. “It can’t go on forever.”

The shortage of homes for sale has led to higher prices, economists say. Inventory in March was 6.6 percent lower than a year ago, according to NAR. Further, the level of home construction relative to the number of U.S. households is at its lowest level since the Census Bureau began tracking such data in 1957, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

“Sellers are in the driver’s seat this spring as the intense competition for the few homes for sale is forcing many buyers to be aggressive in their offers,” Yun says. “Buyers are showing resiliency given the challenging conditions. However, at some point—and the sooner the better—price growth must ease to a healthier rate. Otherwise, sales could slow if affordability conditions worsen.”

Source: “Rising Home Prices Stir Overheating Fears,” The Wall Street Journal (April 26, 2017)

“Copyright National Association of REALTORS®. Reprinted with permission.”

 

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If Buyers Want to Save Money: Tell Them to Shop

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, April 28, 2017

Home buyers who don’t gather more than one quote when shopping for a mortgage may be losing out on some savings to their monthly payments.

Lenders can offer a wide dispersion of rates, up to 50 basis points or 0.5 percent, after controlling for factors like the borrower’s down payment and credit score. That could be the difference between a 3.5 percent versus a 4 percent mortgage rate, according to a recent study by two economists at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, who culled mortgage data from 2014.

The authors offer up a scenario of what would happen if consumers had done an additional search for rate offers. Just one extra search could potentially reduce a borrower’s monthly payment by $8.63, on average. Adding five more searches could help them reduce their payments by $17.03 per month (that’s about $204 over just one year in savings). That said, the borrower’s initial offer may end up being the strongest in some cases, despite additional searches, the authors also note.

But in general, the researchers say that borrowers’ shopping around forces lenders to compete and likely will reduce the costs the borrower will end up paying.

“Tell your clients, especially first-time buyers, to shop more,” notes the National Association of REALTORS® Economists’ Outlook blog, interpreting the study’s results. “It may save them money. They should use websites that quote multiple lenders and get multiple offers on their own from large retail lenders, smaller banks or credit unions, and mortgage banks. But always consider the total cost, which includes the lenders’ fees and other services.”

Source: “Sometimes, Shopping Will Save Your Clients Money!” National Association of REALTORS® Economists’ Outlook blog (April 25, 2017)

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Lower Mortgage Rates Boost Loan Demand

Daily Real Estate News | Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Total mortgage activity—which includes applications for refinancings and home purchases—rose 2.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis as homeowners rushed to take advantage of lower mortgage rates.

The refinance market was what drove last week’s increase, rising 7 percent week over week as mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level since November 2016. Still, refinance activity remains about 34 percent below where it was a year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported Wednesday.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was at 4.2 percent last week, decreasing from 4.22 percent the week prior, the MBA reports. Applications for home purchases dropped 1 percent for the week and are now just 0.4 percent higher than the same week a year ago. A shortage of homes for sale, amid strong buyer demand, continues to hamper sales.

Source: “Lowest Mortgage Rates Since Election Push Refinances Up 7%,” CNBC (April 26, 2017)

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Closing Timelines Get Even Shorter

Daily Real Estate News | Monday, April 24, 2017

The average time to close on all home loan types dropped to 43 days in March—the quickest pace since February 2015, according to Ellie Mae’s Origination Insight Report. A year ago, the average closing time was 46 days. Broken out, loans to purchase a home took 43 days to close, and refinance loans took 43 days in March, down from 45 and 47 days, respectively, in February.

The share of purchase loans last month rose to 63 percent of total originations, up from 57 percent in February, according to Ellie Mae’s report. That marks their highest share since July 2016. “The purchase market continued to heat up in March,” says Ellie Mae president and CEO Jonathan Corr. He also attributed the drop in closing times to Ellie Mae lenders who are automating more mortgage processes “to improve efficiency, quality, and compliance.”

More borrowers are opting for adjustable-rate mortgages as well, according to Ellie Mae’s report. ARMs increased from 5.3 percent to 5.6 percent in March, which is the highest percentage in three years.

Source: “Lenders Speed Up Loan Processing: Ellie Mae,” Mortgage News Daily (April 21, 2017)

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Home Sales Zoom to Highest Pace in Decade

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, April 21, 2017

This spring’s housing mantra: Going, going, gone! “Severe” housing shortages are prompting existing homes to sell significantly faster this year, propelling home sales to the highest pace in more than a decade, the National Association of REALTORS® reported Friday.

Strong sales gains in the Northeast and Midwest were behind most of the nationwide 4.4 percent month-over-month increase in existing-home sales in March. The West was the only major region of the U.S. to see a modest decline in sales activity last month.

Regional Breakdown 

The following is a closer look at how existing-home sales performed across the country in March:

Source: National Association of REALTORS®

  • Northeast: Existing-home sales jumped 10.1 percent in the region, reaching an annual rate of 760,000. Sales are now 4.1 percent above a year ago. Median price: $260,800, which is 2.8 percent higher than a year ago.
  • Midwest: Existing-home sales rose 9.2 percent to an annual rate of 1.31 million in March, and are 3.1 percent above a year ago. Median price: $183,000, up 6.2 percent from a year ago.
  • South: Existing-home sales increased 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 2.42 million, and are 8.5 percent above March 2016. Median price: $210,600, up 8.6 percent from a year ago.
  • West: Existing-home sales in the West dropped 1.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.22 million in March, but remain 5.2 percent above a year ago. Median price: $347,500, up 8 percent from March 2016.

“The early returns so far this spring buying season look very promising as a rising number of households dipped their toes into the market and were successfully able to close on a home last month,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Although finding available properties to buy continues to be a strenuous task for many buyers, there was enough of a monthly increase in listings in March for sales to muster a strong gain. Sales will go up as long as inventory does.”

Total existing-home sales—which include completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops—reached a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.71 million in March. The sales pace is 5.9 percent above a year ago. Further, existing-home sales are now the strongest month of sales since February 2007 (5.79 million).

Here’s a closer look at some of the key indicators from NAR’s latest housing report, reflecting March housing numbers:

Home prices: The median existing-home price for all housing types was $236,400, up 6.8 percent from a year ago when it averaged $221,400.

Days on the market: Properties stayed on the market for an average of 34 days in March, down significantly from 47 days a year ago. Short sales took the longest to sell at a median of 90 days in March; foreclosures sold in 52 days; and non-distressed homes took a median of 32 days—which is the shortest length of time since NAR began tracking such data in May 2011. Forty-eight percent of homes sold in March were on the market for less than a month.

All-cash sales: All-cash transactions comprised 23 percent of sales in March, down from 25 percent a year ago. Individual investors make up the biggest bulk of cash sales. They purchased 15 percent of homes in March, up from 14 percent a year ago.

Distressed sales: Foreclosures and short sales made up 6 percent of existing-home sales in March, down from 8 percent a year ago. Broken out, 5 percent of sales in March were foreclosures and 1 percent were short sales. On average, foreclosures sold for a discount of 16 percent below market value; short sales were discounted an average of 14 percent.

Inventories: Housing inventory at the end of March rose 5.8 percent to 1.83 million existing homes available for sale. Inventory is 6.6 percent lower than a year ago (1.96 million). Unsold inventory is now at a 3.8-month supply at the current sales pace.

“Bolstered by strong consumer confidence and underlying demand, home sales are up convincingly from a year ago nationally and in all four major regions despite the fact that buying a home has gotten more expensive over the past year,” Yun says.

“Copyright National Association of REALTORS®. Reprinted with permission.”

 

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Fewer New Homes in Pipeline Pushes Up Prices

Daily Real Estate News | Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Nationwide housing starts dropped in March, despite continued high buyer demand, which is adding pressure to overall home prices.

Housing starts for single-family and multifamily homes dropped 6.8 percent in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.22 million units, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday. Broken out, single-family production plunged 6.2 percent to an annual rate of 821,000 units in March month over month, following a strong February reading. Multifamily starts dropped 7.9 percent to an annual pace of 394,000.

The constraint in new-home construction is proving a big challenge for the overall housing market, says Lawrence Yun, the chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®.

“A major housing shortage exists in this country,” Yun said in a statement. “It is therefore disappointing to witness in March the continued lackluster performance in new-home building, which was the second lowest activity over the past six months. Home prices have risen by 41 percent and rents have climbed 17 percent over the past five years at a time when the typical worker wage has grown by only 11 percent. To relieve housing costs, there simply needs to be more homes built.”

Across the country, single- and multifamily housing production fluctuated in March. In the Northeast, housing production rose 12.9 percent in March month over month, but dropped in other regions, posting a 16.2 percent decrease in the Midwest, a 16 percent drop in the West, and a 2.9 percent drop in the South, the Commerce Department reported.

Despite March’s nationwide drop, the National Association of Home Builders notes that overall housing production for single-family homes in the first quarter of this year is still 8.1 percent above the pace in 2016.

“The three-month moving average for single-family starts has reached a post-recession high, which shows that this sector is continuing to firm,” says NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “We can expect further gains in single-family production throughout the year, while multifamily starts should level off.”

Housing permits—a gauge of future production—is holding promise for a turnaround. Permit issuance in March rose 3.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.26 million units, but that was all buoyed by a pickup in multifamily permits. Multifamily permits increased 13.8 percent to 437,000 units while single-family permits in March were down 1.1 percent to 823,000.

By Melissa Dittmann Tracey, REALTOR® Magazine’s Daily News

“Copyright National Association of REALTORS®. Reprinted with permission.”

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5 Ways to Make Listing Photos Pop

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, April 14, 2017

Photos of your listing are crucial when selling a home and presenting it online to potential suitors. The New York Times recently featured several suggestions from professional stagers and interior photographers on how to achieve a picture-perfect home, including:

Trim the belongings. “Instead of having lots of little things along a countertop or table, have one bold vessel or large plant, or a trio of objects that read as one whole,” says Laure Joliet, a photographer based in Los Angeles. “This helps anchor the photo and keeps the space feeling serene.” Keep plants and knick-knacks away from windowsills and off the piano top or coffee tables. In the kitchen, clear away all the refrigerator magnets, paper towels, and majority of small appliances. Before taking a photo in the bathroom, open the shower curtain, close the toilet lid, and remove all toiletries from counters. Keep everything clutter-free.

Harness the light. Wash the windows and open the curtains or pull up the blinds, suggests photographers in The New York Times’ article. “Natural light allows for depth in the shadows and highlights in the window, which makes a room look the way it feels,” Joliet says. “It can make your real estate photos look that much more high-end and designed.”

Add in some pops of color. Accents like colorful flowers or a throw pillow can help enhance the photos. “Instead of a fussy bouquet, a vase filled with one type of flower, or greens is best,” Joliet says. She recommends eucalyptus branches. To drape a throw: Grab the middle of the blanket and hold it up so that it cascades evenly down. Place it diagonally at the foot of the bed “with the point up toward the long side of the bed and the fringes hanging slightly off the front,” says Donna M. Dazzo, president of Designed to Appeal, a home-staging firm. To drape it over an armchair, tuck the bottom behind a throw pillow or allow the throw to cascade off the arm, she says.

Hang artwork lower. “We tend to place our art a little bit lower than maybe somebody would in personal use, because in a photo, if you place it too high, the ceiling looks very low,” David C. Salvatore, creative director for Edge Mid-Century Designs in Clifton, N.J., told The New York Times. “Everyone loves high ceilings—and certainly, if you have the ceilings, you need to put in a huge vertical piece” to make sure you show the height.”

Focus on curb appeal: Prune overgrown trees, particularly those that are obscuring the view of the house in any way, Alberto Lau, a real estate photographer in San Diego, told The New York Times. “Take the cover off the barbecue grill unless it is hopelessly rusty, in which case it’s better to move it [out of] the frame of the photo,” he says. Keep any cars away from the front of the house or driveway (place cones or signs, if necessary, to keep others away from parking in the front the day you shoot). Make sure the leaves are raked and trash bins are hidden from view.

“Copyright National Association of REALTORS®. Reprinted with permission.”

 

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Mortgage Rates Set a New 2017 Low This Week

Daily Real Estate News | Friday, April 14, 2017

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage continues to drop this week, setting a new low for 2017, Freddie Mac reports in its weekly mortgage market survey. This marks the fourth consecutive week that 30-year rates have fallen.

“Following a weak March jobs report, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped about 5 basis points,” explains Sean Becketti, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “The 30-year mortgage rate fell 2 basis points to 4.08 percent.”

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending April 13, 2017:

  • 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 4.08 percent, with an average 0.5 point, falling from last week’s 4.10 percent average. A year ago, 30-year rates averaged 3.58 percent.
  • 15-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 3.34 percent, with an average 0.5 point, falling slightly from last week’s 3.36 percent average. Last year at this time, 15-year rates averaged 2.86 percent.
  • 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages averaged 3.18 percent, with an average 0.4 point, falling from last week’s 3.19 percent average. A year ago, 5-year ARMs averaged 2.84 percent.

Source: Freddie Mac

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Watch for These Open House Red Flags

Daily Real Estate News | Wednesday, April 12, 2017

How fast can you pick out signs of deferred maintenance in a listing? Realtor.com® recently spotlighted several red flags to watch for at an open house.

Intense scents. The stronger the air freshener, the more likely the seller is trying to mask an offensive odor, warns Denise Supplee, a real estate professional with Long and Foster Real Estate in Doylestown, Pa. “When there’s too much going on in the scent department—plug-ins, wax warmers, and candles, for example—I wonder what that overkill is hiding,” she says. Your nose should alert your eyes to look for signs of mildew, smoke, or pet accidents.

Uneven flooring. Examine the tile in kitchens and bathrooms closely. “If the gaps or tiles are slightly uneven, it may indicate a DIY job, which will make me think twice—especially if I know this house was flipped,” says real estate investor Eugene Gamble, owner of WeFundYourFlips in Tampa, Fla.

Foundation issues. It’s not uncommon—or particularly alarming—to see hairline cracks in a foundation, but beware of any large gaps, Gamble says. Other potential signs of a foundation issue are sticking doors or windows, visible cracks around window frames, and uneven floors.

Chores undone. “When I walk through a home, I look for signs that the owner might have neglected routine home maintenance,” says real estate pro Malcolm Lawson with Keller Williams Select REALTORS® in Annapolis, Md. This might be anything from burned-out lightbulbs to uncut grass outside to leaky faucets.

Mold. Real estate broker Frank Kirschner in Fort Lauderdale, Fla., suggests opening bathroom and sink cabinets to check around water pipes or drains. Also, check caulking around faucets and tubs for black spots. Look for any patches on the ceiling as well.

Source: “Open House Red Flags: 10 Things to Look for When Buying a Home,” realtor.com® (April 11, 2017)

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